V. 2 (2014): Arte e scienza della previsione
Dossier

La sovrapproduzione delle élite e il caos prossimo venturo

Peter Turchin
Biografia

Pubblicato 04-03-2026

Abstract

There is a common triggering factor among apparently very different historical events such as the late Roman civil wars, religious wars, and the American Civil War: a period of "elite overproduction." Today, we see the same forces at play and ready to lead America towards new peaks of instability.